Machine learning for ECG diagnosis and risk stratification of occlusion myocardial infarction.

Patients with occlusion myocardial infarction (OMI) and no ST-elevation on presenting electrocardiogram (ECG) are increasing in numbers. These patients have a poor prognosis and would benefit from immediate reperfusion therapy, but, currently, there are no accurate tools to identify them during initial triage. Here we report, to our knowledge, the first observational cohort study to develop machine learning models for the ECG diagnosis of OMI. Using 7,313 consecutive patients from multiple clinical sites, we derived and externally validated an intelligent model that outperformed practicing clinicians and other widely used commercial interpretation systems, substantially boosting both precision and sensitivity. Our derived OMI risk score provided enhanced rule-in and rule-out accuracy relevant to routine care, and, when combined with the clinical judgment of trained emergency personnel, it helped correctly reclassify one in three patients with chest pain. ECG features driving our models were validated by clinical experts, providing plausible mechanistic links to myocardial injury.

Unsupervised machine learning identifies symptoms of indigestion as a predictor of acute decompensation and adverse cardiac events in patients with heart failure presenting to the emergency department.

BACKGROUND: Patients with known heart failure (HF) present to emergency departments (ED) with a plethora of symptoms. Although symptom clusters have been suggested as prognostic features, accurately triaging HF patients is a longstanding challenge. OBJECTIVES: We sought to use machine learning to identify subtle phenotypes of patient symptoms and evaluate their diagnostic and prognostic value among HF patients seeking emergency care. METHODS: This was a secondary analysis of a prospective cohort study of consecutive patients seen in the ED for chest pain or equivalent symptoms. Independent reviewers extracted clinical data from charts, including nine categories of subjective symptoms reported during initial evaluation. The diagnostic outcome was acute HF exacerbation and prognostic outcome was 30-day major adverse cardiac events (MACE). Outcomes were adjudicated by two independent reviewers. K-means clustering was used to derive latent patient symptom clusters, and their associations with outcomes were assessed using multivariate logistic regression. RESULTS: Sample included 438 patients (age 65±14 years; 45% female, 49% Black, 18% HF exacerbation, 32% MACE). K-means clustering identified three presentation phenotypes: patients with dyspnea only (Cluster A, 40%); patients with indigestion, with or without dyspnea (Cluster B, 23%); patients with neither dyspnea nor indigestion (Cluster C, 37%). Compared to Cluster C, indigestion was a significant predictor of acute HF exacerbation (OR=1.8, 95%CI=1.0-3.4) and 30-day MACE (OR=1.8, 95%CI=1.0-3.1), independent of age, sex, race, and other comorbidities. CONCLUSION: Indigestion symptoms in patients with known HF signify excess risk of adverse events, suggesting that these patients should be triaged as high-risk during initial ED evaluation.

Machine Learning for the ECG Diagnosis and Risk Stratification of Occlusion Myocardial Infarction at First Medical Contact.

Patients with occlusion myocardial infarction (OMI) and no ST-elevation on presenting ECG are increasing in numbers. These patients have a poor prognosis and would benefit from immediate reperfusion therapy, but we currently have no accurate tools to identify them during initial triage. Herein, we report the first observational cohort study to develop machine learning models for the ECG diagnosis of OMI. Using 7,313 consecutive patients from multiple clinical sites, we derived and externally validated an intelligent model that outperformed practicing clinicians and other widely used commercial interpretation systems, significantly boosting both precision and sensitivity. Our derived OMI risk score provided superior rule-in and rule-out accuracy compared to routine care, and when combined with the clinical judgment of trained emergency personnel, this score helped correctly reclassify one in three patients with chest pain. ECG features driving our models were validated by clinical experts, providing plausible mechanistic links to myocardial injury.